The Nose: CFB Week 3

Find all of Ian's picks here!

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It is officially week 3 of the College Football Season. We have a pretty mediocre slate in front of us this week. But that shouldn’t stop us from picking winners out off a shitty board and discussing some of the more intriguing week 3 games.

Friday Night Lights

Florida State (-2.5) Vs Louisville

The Seminoles fans are starting to get their hopes up! They may finally be back to relevance after a huge win a couple Sunday’s ago vs LSU. While I don’t believe this team will be in the national conversation in a couple months they have a chance to boost their resume by going into Louisville and winning tonight. Malik Cunningham is one of the most dynamic Quarterbacks in the country and should give the Florida State defense a real test. I expect Florida State to come away with a victory in this one. The Louisville defense is allowing 5.3 yards per carry on the season while Florida State has been gaining 5.8 yards per carry as an offense. While Louisville has the better QB, I believe FSU should be able to ground and pound their way to victory with their superior run game and stout defensive front. Noles Team Total and -2.5

Saturday Best:

BYU VS Oregon(-3.5):

I couldn’t possibly tell you why, but Oregon is still ranked. They have a glorified garbage can in Bo Nix at QB and when they got their chance against Georgia they gave up nearly 50 points while only managing a field goal themselves. Meanwhile BYU has shown to actually deserve their ranking, coming off a thrilling overtime victory against Baylor last week. BYU is more dynamic in both the pass and run game, and their defense is allowing 95 yards less per game than Oregon’s thus far. I know Oregon had to play Georgia, but it doesn’t matter because Bo Nix still sucks at quarterbacking the collegiate level. Give me BYU on the moneyline

Penn State(-2.5) Vs Auburn

A fun Big Ten-SEC showdown between two 2-0 teams appears to set us up for a great game but when the curtain is peeled back it’s clear there is one fraudulent side in this game. Auburn barely squeaked by San Jose St last week by a score of 24-16. Their QB T.J Finley is leaving off where Bo Nix was with a beautiful 1-3 Touchdown-Interception ratio. On the flip side James Franklin appears to have this Nittany Lion program humming after signing a massive extension last year. It’s always tough to go into Auburn and get a win, but I’ll ride with the coach and quarterback I trust more in this spot. Penn State -2.5

Michigan State Vs Washington (-3.5)

My Dawgs might just be back. Although it’s just Kent State and Portland State, Kalen DeBoer appears to have made significant changes to this Huskies Offense. Michael Penix looks like he did pre ACL injury at Indiana, while Jalen Mcmillan and Rome Odunze seem to be living up to the hype they had coming out of high school. On the flip side Mel Tucker and Michigan State appear to have not skipped a beat, dismantling the two weaker opponents they have played. I expect Alaska Airlines field to be rocking and for this revamped Husky Offense to be enough for the dawgs to push past Michigan St this weekend. Payton Thorne has thrown 3 picks against terrible teams, I suspect the Dawgs defense may have a turnover in them as well. While I’m too scared to pick my dawgs to cover, throw us in as a parlay piece and look at teasing UW with USC against Fresno State.

GAME OF THE WEEK:

Texas A&M (-6) Vs Miami

This is another ranking and line that baffles me. A&M lost to App State at home and is still 6th in the country and 6 point road favorites!!! While the AP writers may want to fellate the Southeastern Conference, I do not. The U is looking like they may finally have found their coach in Mario Cristobal, and Henry Parrish Jr will be running all over the ACC this year. Texas A&M has one of the weakest offenses in the SEC thus far, this week they face a Miami Offense which is currently averaging over 500 yards a game. While you could say that is due to schedule, you’d also have to acknowledge that A&M scored 14 points against App state who had 63 hung on them by UNC. I don’t get the ranking, I don’t get the line, Down with the SEC and their media Propaganda. Canes +6 and sprinkle on moneyline.

Upset Longshot of the Week:

UTSA VS Texas (-12.5)

This UTSA hung tough with Houston a couple weeks ago, I imagine many of their players were overlooked by Texas during high school and they will come in with a chip on their shoulder. Texas is feeling good after almost doing the impossible against Bama last week, but I was not at all impressed with Hudson Card under center. While Texas has a massive talent advantage across the board, this is exactly the type of letdown game I’m used to watching Texas lose my entire life. Texas was going to be back with Ewers playing QB, but with Hudson Card out there this looks like the same old Texas to me. Longshot Upset of the week: UTSA ML

Since this slate sucks, I’m not gonna waste my time writing about any other games. I’ll be back next week with a longer preview to cover next week's conference play. Fade Bo Nix and Fade the bad SEC Teams they want you to think are good.